ANALISIS PENGARUH KURS DAN UANG BEREDAR TERHADAP INFLASI DI INDONESIA PADA PERIODE 2001Q1-2006Q1

Aso Sukarso, Buhdi Wahyu F, Indri Purnamasari

Jurusan Ekonomi Pembangunan Fakultas Ekonomi Universitas Siliwangi

**ABSTRACT**

Issues related with inflation rate have becomes interesting topic for economic since a long period ago, because the indicators have a very important role in a country’s recently. Like Indonesia. Inflation rate consiret too high and weak need fluctuation of currency is to steady growth this condition given effect of infestation and growth economic.

This research aimed to know how about influence currency and money supply to inflation in Indonesia at the period of the 2001Q1-2006Q1.

The data used in thesis is descriptive secondary data along five years taken from 2001Q1 and 2006Q1 are quarterly data, data released by Indonesia finance economy of statistic and observation consisting is 21.

The instrument analysis that is used in this research are determinant coefficient test, correlation coefficient test, other test like test Ftest and assumption classic determination like DW test, heteroskedasticity, multikolinearity.

Based on analysis and processing is used it can be conclude the influence currency fluctuation and money supply to inflation can be simultance is 66,3527 % is significance positive and the 33,6473 % taste influence by other factors.

Keyword: kurs, money supply, inflation

**ANALISIS PENGARUH SPREAD, NILAI TUKAR DAN PRODUK DOMESTIK BRUTO TERHADAP PENYALURAN KREDIT PADA**

**BANK DEVISA DI INDONESIA PERIODE 2000.III – 2007.I**

** **

** **

**Chandra Budi L.S., Budhi Wahyu F., Diyan Taufiek**

*Jurusan Ekonomi Pembangunan Fakultas Ekonomi Universitas Siliwangi*

** **

*ABSTRACT*

** **

*This research aims to know the level of influence and sensitivity (elasticity) spread, exchange rate and gross domestic product on credit channeling at foreign exchange bank in Indonesia during period 2000.III – 2007.I.*

*Data utilized in this research is quarterly data from year 2000 quarterly III until year 2007 quarterly I. The data obtained from **Statistik Ekonomi dan Keuangan Indonesia (SEKI) BI. Method of research used is model of **Multiple Regression Linear with analyzer : correlation analysis (R), coefficient determination analysis (R ^{2}) and elasticity analysis, while examination taken is F test, t test, normality test, *

*autocorrelation test,*

*multicolinearity test, and heteroscedasticity test by using program of calculation EViews.*

*From this research result indicate that 81,69% credit channeling of foreign currency in Indonesia be influenced by spread, exchange rate, gross domestic product and gross domestic product previous period while the rest of equal to 18,31% influenced by other factor.*

*Influence of spread and exchange rate variable on credit channeling of foreign currency in Indonesia during period 2000.III – 2007.I in partial is significant. But for the gross domestic product and gross domestic product of previous period variable in partial influence do not significant on credit channeling of foreign currency in Indonesia during period 2000.III – 2007.I.*

*Credit channeling elasticity of foreign currency on spread is negative inelasticity. Credit channeling elasticity of foreign currency on exchange rate, gross domestic product and gross domestic product of previous period is positive inelasticity.*

*Keyword: spread, exchange rate, gross domestic product, credit channeling at foreign exchange*

**PENGARUH BEBERAPA VARIABEL PUAB (SUKU BUNGA SBI, VOLUME LELANG / OPT, **

**DAN ****JUMLAH UANG BEREDAR) TERHADAP TINGKAT SUKU BUNGA PUAB DI INDONESIA **

**PERIODE JANUARI 2002 – DESEMBER 2004.**

** **

** **

**Aso Sukarso, Budh****i Wahyu F., Andi Suwandi**

**Jurusan Ekonomi Pembangunan Fakultas Ekonomi Universitas Siliwangi**

*ABSTRACT*

*Economic growth as a one of mean of monetary policy can shown by rate of investment growth at riil sector. Growth of riil sector activity verry depend to growth of likuidity and rate of interest in the monetary market. This thesis tries to learning monetary approach to rate of invest that happen. Especially is rate of PUAB interest by basic model that used by Bambang Hermanto (2002) in his empirical study, used in this research with data of time monthly series which consist of rate of PUAB interest, rate of SBI interest, Bidding volume / OPT, and Money supply.*

*Method in this research use a descriptive method by using model of econometric and tested by some analyzer of regression. Calculations of statistic use formulation coefficient of determination, test t, test F, test autocorrelation (Durbin-Watson), and multicolinearity test by using aid appliance calculation of SPSS.*

*Result of this study show there is strong influence of PUAB variables to rate of PUAB interest in Indonesia. Result of examination test t show that by partial there are influence which is significant of rate of SBI interest, Bidding Volume / OPT, and Money Supply to rate of PUAB interest. Result of examination test F show that by together there is influence which is significant of rate of SBI interest, Bidding volume / OPT, and Money supply to rate of PUAB interest. *

*Keyword: rate of PUAB interest, rate of SBI interest, Bidding volume / OPT, Money supply.*

**PENGARUH STOK KAPITAL DAN TENAGA KERJA TERHADAP PRODUK DOMESTIK BRUTO SEKTORAL **

**DI INDONESIA PERIODE 1980-2005.**

** **

** **

**Apip Supriadi, Budhi Wahyu Fitri, Encang Kadarisman, Santi Fitriyanti**

**Jurusan Ekonomi Pembangunan Fakultas Ekonomi Universitas Siliwangi**

* *

*ABSTRACT*

* *

* *

*This research aims is to kow : a). The influence of capital stock and total labour to total GDP in Indonesia during periode of 1980 – 2005. b). The influence of capital stock and sectoral labour to sectoral GDP in Indonesia periode of 1980 – 2005. c). The influence of capital stock and sectoral labour to sectoral GDP in Indonesia periode of 1980 – 2005. d). The level sensitivity of GDP to capital stock and labour (sectoral and total) in Indonesia periode of 1980 – 2005.*

*The writer uses descriptive method and secondary data (time series), besides tool of analysis is determination coefficient (R ^{2}). Variance test (F test), regression coefficient (t test). While, multicolinearity test, autocorrelation test and heteroskedasticity test are used to examine data validity.*

*Based on the result of test, it gains R ^{2} value as 0,860, it show how big it does to influence of capital stock and total labour to total GDP is 86% and the rest is 14% influenced by another factor.*

*Meanwhile, for mean of sectoral R ^{2} value as 0,676, it show how big it does to influence of capital stock and sectoral labour to sectoral GDP is 67,6% and the rest is 32,4% influenced by another factor. Mean of total-sectoral R^{2} value as 0,823, it show how big it does to influence of capital stock and sectoral labour to total GDP is 82,3% and the rest is 17,7% influenced by another factor.*

*From estimation result have to know that total GDP have the elastic to capital stock and total labour. But for sectoral, elasticity mean of capital stock value as 0,17 and labour value as 0,18, this matter indicate that sectoral GDP have inelasticity to capital stock and sectoral labour. For total – sectoral, elasticity mean of capital stock is 1,85 and labour is 0,94, this matter indicate that total GDP have the elastic to sectoral capital stock, but for sectoral labour have inelasticity.*

** **

*Keyword: capital stock, total labour,gross domestic product *

**ANALISIS PENGARUH BIAYA PRODUKSI TERHADAP **

**HASIL PRODUKSI PADI SAWAH**

**(Kasus di Desa Pasirpanjang Kecamatan Manonjaya Kabupaten Tasikmalaya)**

** **

** **

**Encang Kadarisman, Budhi Wahyu Fitri, Nanang Rusliana, Ivan Widhi Ginanjar**

**Jurusan Ekonomi Pembangunan Fakultas Ekonomi Universitas Siliwangi**

** **

** **

**ABSTRACT**

** **

**This Research aim to know 1) How big rice field paddy farmer operating cost him in once (4 months), 2) How big result of rice field paddy farming production in once produce (4 months), 3) How big him influence of production cost to result of rice field paddy farming production in once produce (4 months), 4) How big level sensitivity of production cost to result of rice field paddy production (4 months).**

** In this research of writer use model of Y = α + β _{1 }X1 + β_{2 }X2 + β_{3 }X3 + β_{4 }X4 + e with method of R2 to know the level of influence, with examination of statistical t and examination of statistical F to know there is not it him influence directly free variable to variable tied.**

* From result of research, in the reality the level of rice field paddy farmer operating cost in once produce (4 months) in Countryside of Pasirpanjang District of Manonjaya Tasikmalaya Regency is equal to Rp. 1.174.869, while result of rice field paddy farming production in once produce ( 4 months) in Countryside of Pasirpanjang District of Manonjaya Tasikmalaya Regency is equal to Rp. 426.873, from result of research of writer got by entire production cost component do not have an effect on significance to result of production farmer of rice field paddy, elasticity entire/all production cost component to result of farmer production from result of regression got altogether *e

**lastic.**

**Keyword: cost of production, yield of production**

**ANALISIS PENDAPATAN DAN DISTRIBUSI PENDAPATAN USAHATANI TANAMAN MENDONG **

**DI KOTA TASIKMALAYA **

** (Studi Kasus di Kecamatan Cibeureum Kota Tasikmalaya).**

** **

** **

**Budhi Wahyu Fitri, Encang Kadarisman, Nanang Rusliana, Yopi Rukmanda**

*Jurusan Ekonomi Pembangunan Fakultas Ekonomi Universitas Siliwangi*

* *

* *

*ABSTRACT*

** **

*This research is aimed at finding out : 1) How much the income of the mendong (rice-like plant used as the raw material for making mat) farm at Cibeureum district of Tasikmalaya city is; 2) How many mendong productions available at Cibeureum disctrict of Tasikmalaya city are; 3) The distribution analysis of the mendong farm income at Cibeureum district of Tasikmalaya city.*

*The writer uses descriptive method, the way of how to conduct is by means of survey at mendong farmer group at Margabakti sub-district the district of Cibeureum of Tasikmalaya city. The data used in this research consist of primary and secondary data.*

*From the result, in fact mendong farm income distribution in a large area in terms of the Lorenz curv closer to smooth line, while for the narrow area is slightly far from the smooth line. So the income distribution for the large area is realtively spread more evenly than that of the narrow area. *

*Keyword: income, distribution of income*

**ANALISIS FUNGSI PRODUKSI SUSU SAPI PERAH**

**DI DESA GURANTENG KECAMATAN PAGERAGEUNG**

**KABUPATEN TASIKMALAYA**

** **

** **

Ade Komaludin, Budhi Wahyu Fitri, Kusyono A.H

*Jurusan Ekonomi Pembangunan Fakultas Ekonomi Universitas Siliwangi*

*ABSTRACT*

** **

*The writer does of the research at Guranteng sub district of Pagerageung because the people in the place life to keep the cows.*

*This place has good climate natural and environment so it’s support for farming sector, so, the farming is very important at economical of Indonesia country that why almost the people life to farming.*

*The aim of research to know the influence production factor of cow’s milk at Guranteng sub district Pagerageung Tasikmalaya Regency’s know the degree elasticity using of input production factor of cow’s milk at guranteng sub district Pagerageung Tasikmalaya regency. Method or instru analysis that using it is Cobb-Douglas.*

* Based on the analysis, the writer can summary it, that : the using input production factor (feed, tools and cow’s quality) it has influencing to ward cow product. While the using input production factor (the large of place, medicine, and labour) it has not influence toward result of cow’s milk and its influence the using of input production factor (the large place, medicine, feed, quantity of cow and labour) to ward result milk at Guranteng sub district of Pagerageung – Tasikmalaya regency. They significant influenced and the elasticity result of milk product toward using input production factor (the large of place, medicine, tools, quantity of cow’s and quantity of labour). It is and inelasticity toward positive relation.*

* The deal of output to ward input production factor if it correlate with scale result is decreasing return to scale with positive correlation. So, the writer can get the deaf degree of output toward input production factor it correlated with result scale, it is mean that the assumption decreasing the out put is smaller than decreasing of input so of degree toward decreasing returns to scale.*

* *

*Keyword : Decreasing return to Scale ,inelasticity, feed, tools, cow’s quality.*

**ANALISIS PENGARUH KEBIJAKAN MONETER (JUMLAH UANG BEREDAR DAN TINGKAT SUKU BUNGA) TERHADAP PRODUK DOMESTIK BRUTO DI INDONESIA PERIODE 1986 – 2006**

** **

**Dita Sugih Hartini, Chandra Budi L.S, Budhi Wahyu F**

*Jurusan Ekonomi Pembangunan Fakultas Ekonomi Universitas Siliwangi *

** **

** **

*ABSTRACT *

** **

*The objective of this research are to know: (a) The analysis of monetary policy (money supply and interest rate (SBI) on Gross Domestic Product (GDP) in Indonesia Period 1986 – 2006, (b) The elasticity of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) on money supply and interest rate ( SBI) in Indonesia Period 1986 – 2006.*

*Data used in this research is times series of Annual Report Indonesia Bank, Statistical of Economics and Finance Indonesia (SEKI) BI. Method Research used are i) Multiple Regression analysis, ii) Coefficient correlation (R), coefficient of determination (R ^{2}), and elasticity analysis while examination taken is F test, t test, autocorrelation test by using calculation of program of SPSS.*

*The result of this research are: i) money supply (M ^{2}) and interest rate (SBI) have an effect significant to Gross Domestic Product ( GDP) in Indonesia Period 1986 – 2006. ii) The elasticity of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) on money supply (M^{2}) and interest rate (SBI) in Indonesia Period 1986-2006 are money supply (M^{2}) and interest rate (SBI) were significant and positive effect on Gross Domestic Product.*

*Keyword: monetary policy, money supply, interes rate, gross domestic product*

**ANALISIS PENGARUH INFLASI RELATIF, SUKU BUNGA RELATIF, PENDAPATAN NASIONAL RELATIF DAN UANG BEREDAR RELATIF TERHADAP NILAI TUKAR RUPIAH-DOLAR AMERIKA PERIODE TAHUN 1990.1 – 2004.4.**

** **

* *

*Susi Setiasih, Dede Zainul Zachra, Budhi Wahyu Fitri*

*Jurusan Ekonomi Pembangunan Fakultas Ekonomi Universitas Siliwangi *

* *

*ABSTRACT*

* *

* In this research try to analyse influence of relative inflation , relative rate of interest, relative national incomes and relative money supply to exchange rate Rupiah – American Dollar is year period 1990.1 – 2004.4, by using approach Purchasing Power Parity ( PPP) of according to version relative its his.*

* Data used represent data of sekunder obtained from Bank Indonesia and websites. Method of analysis used by analysis of linear regression, its statistical calculation use coefficient determinasi, t-test and F-test, examination of multicolinieritas by using software Eviews 3.0.*

* Result obtained from analysing the data are: (i) That inflation relative and the rate of interest relative have relation which are positive and significance to exchange rate rupiah – american dollar of year period 1990.1 – 2004.4; (ii) That relative incomes of national and relative money supply have negative relation to exchange rate rupiah – american dollar of year period 1990.1 – 2004.4. However if conducted by a calculation together only relative incomes of national which don’t have influence of significance to exchange rate rupiah – american dollar; (iii) That rate of interest and inflation represent variable capable to depresiasing of exchange rate of rupiah if higher rate of interest and inflation in Indonesia compared to with rate of interest and inflation that happened in America; (iv) That money supply and national incomes represent variable capable to apresiasing of exchange rate of rupiah if higher money supply and national incomes in Indonesia compared to with money supply and national incomes in America.*

** **

*Keyword: inflation, interest rate, national income, money suuply, exchange rate *